Options on Iran

This is from the Times Online, abridged by me: Censure by the Council Pros: Well worth doing, say British diplomats. They point to the effect that UN condemnation of Syria�s role in Lebanon has had on Damascus. Cons: May look feeble. Ban on uranium enrichment by Iran Pros: Plugs the gap in the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty which Iran has adroitly exploited, allowing it legally to develop nuclear power. Cons: Iran would probably say this contradicts its rights under the NPT, and ignore it. �Cultural sanctions� Ban on travel by Iranian diplomats, and on taking part in sports competitions. Pros: Costless, yet minded acutely by ordinary Iranians. Cons: Effects unpredictable. Could turn Iranians against the UN, not their regime. Energy equipment sanctions Ban on sale of oil and gas technology to Iran. Pros: Hits Iran where it hurts most � its ability to make the most of the boom in energy prices. Cons: Very hard to secure within the Security Council.. Russia above all, which has struck many energy deals with Iran, might feel committed to keeping supplying the kit. Wider economic sanctions These would include a ban on trade with Iran in many goods and services. But it would certainly not include a ban on food or medicines. Pros: A powerful expression of disapproval. Could incite overthrow of the regime. Cons: Often has the opposite effect � witness the dislike of the UN in Iraq after years of sanctions. It may also be very hard to get Security Council support. Military strikes Against Iran�s nuclear sites. Pros: Sets back Iran years in developing nuclear weapons. Cons: Turns Iranians against the West and bolsters the regime. Many sites may be hidden. If strikes are by Israel, counterattacks by Hezbollah in northern Israel are likely. Notice they didn't include my option, of a naval blockade: Pros: Puts pressure on those who can influence Iran, namely China and Russia. Cons: Could lead to war with those countries. http://www.timesonline.co.uk/printFriendly/0,,1-23-1988723-23,00.html

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