Tuesday, January 02, 2007

Winning in Iraq

Fred Barnes reports that President Bush will likely take this advice to defeat the insurgency:

Authored by Keane and military expert Frederick W. Kagan of the American Enterprise Institute, the plan (which can be read at aei.org/publication25292) is well thought-out and detailed, but fundamentally quite simple. It is based on the idea--all but indisputable at this point--that no political solution is possible in Iraq until security is established, starting in Baghdad. The reverse--a bid to forge reconciliation between majority Shia and minority Sunni--is a nonstarter in a political environment drenched in the blood of sectarian killings.

Why would the Keane-Kagan plan succeed where earlier efforts failed? It envisions a temporary addition of 50,000 troops on the ground in Iraq. The initial mission would be to secure and hold the mixed Baghdad neighborhoods of Shia and Sunni residents where most of the violence occurs.

This sounds like a sensible way to go. It is an offensive strategy, as opposed to completely depending on the Iraqis (until their ready) or an embarrassing and potentially fatal cut and run.