Saturday, September 01, 2007

Only 7% Consensus on Global Warming

It gets kind of detailed but here's the jist of this survey of scientific articles:

Of 528 total papers on climate change, only 38 (7%) gave an
explicit endorsement of the consensus. If one considers "implicit" endorsement
(accepting the consensus without explicit statement), the figure rises to 45%.
However, while only 32 papers (6%) reject the consensus outright, the
largest category (48%) are neutral papers, refusing to either accept
or reject the hypothesis. This is no "consensus."The figures are even more
shocking when one remembers the watered-down definition of consensus
here. Not only does it not require supporting that man is the
"primary" cause of warming, but it doesn't require any belief or
support for "catastrophic" global warming. In fact of all papers
published in this period (2004 to February 2007), only a single one makes
any reference to climate change leading to catastrophic results.

But for Al Gore and the Media, this would be a majority of scientists, whatever fits their talking points. Seems like the real consensus is leaning toward "wait and see" and "go slow".